Northwind Retail Group·Retail & eCommerce·Last 30 days

Budget Recommendations

Generated nightly by the Marketing Agent using curated spend, conversion and incrementality data. Every action is written back to the audit log.

Open Recommendations

5flat

5 total this cycle

Budget Reallocated

$0flat

0 accepted

Projected Conversion Lift

+0.0%flat

Projected CAC Change

0.0%flat

Scale Paid Search — Brand + Shopping

Google Ads

Brand search and Shopping campaigns are impression-share limited at 72%. Marginal ROAS remains above 5.1x at the proposed spend level.

Confidence

94%

Current allocation

$428,000

Recommended allocation

$498,000

Budget change

+$70,000

+16.4%

Expected conversions

+12.4%12.4%

Expected CAC

-8.1%8.1%

Increase Retargeting Frequency Caps

Meta Ads

Cart Abandoner audience saturation is only 41%. Incremental conversions are still priced 38% below blended CAC.

Confidence

89%

Current allocation

$186,000

Recommended allocation

$228,000

Budget change

+$42,000

+22.6%

Expected conversions

+9.8%9.8%

Expected CAC

-6.4%6.4%

Reduce Video Awareness Spend

YouTube

View-through conversions decayed for six consecutive weeks while CAC rose to $106. Holdout test shows 82% of conversions are non-incremental.

Confidence

91%

Current allocation

$121,000

Recommended allocation

$74,000

Budget change

$47,000

-38.8%

Expected conversions

-1.2%1.2%

Expected CAC

-11.6%11.6%

Pause TikTok Creator Collabs

TikTok Ads

ROAS of 2.4x sits below the 3.1x profitability floor across all creative variants tested this quarter.

Confidence

86%

Current allocation

$74,300

Recommended allocation

$28,000

Budget change

$46,300

-62.3%

Expected conversions

-0.6%0.6%

Expected CAC

-9.2%9.2%

Shift Win-Back Budget to Loyalty

Display Network

Win-Back cohort LTV is $296 against a $108 CAC. Loyalty Reactivation delivers 2.6x the return on the same dollar.

Confidence

83%

Current allocation

$52,400

Recommended allocation

$24,000

Budget change

$28,400

-54.2%

Expected conversions

+3.4%3.4%

Expected CAC

-7.7%7.7%

Allocation summary

Current versus recommended budget by channel

Google AdsScale Paid Search — Brand + Shopping$428,000$498,000
Meta AdsIncrease Retargeting Frequency Caps$186,000$228,000
YouTubeReduce Video Awareness Spend$121,000$74,000
TikTok AdsPause TikTok Creator Collabs$74,300$28,000
Display NetworkShift Win-Back Budget to Loyalty$52,400$24,000